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The task is to reverse engineer the financial model used in this study: “https://finance.yahoo.com/news/nextsource-materials-announces-global-anode-114500544.html”
Assume a 40% raw material to CSPG conversion ratio, with the byproduct (“fines’) sold at say 10% of the price of CSPG product
eg: 10,000 tons graphite yields 4,000 tons CSPG and 6,000 tons fines
Assume the 20,000 tons capacity in Year 1 increases at Year 3 to 50,000 tons and at Year 5 to 100,000 tons
In all cases the production rate set at 90% of utilization (ie 10% flex unused for downtime etc)
So the set of Capex out / cashflow in spread over 3yrs, when 8% applied should be somewhere near that NPV
Some details missing no doubt, so a plug number will be needed (a goal seek)
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Category: Financial Modelling
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